7.4 'Sore Subjects of Missile Defence'

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Del curso dictado por Saint Petersburg State University

Russia and Nuclear Arms Control

21 calificación

Saint Petersburg State University

Russia and Nuclear Arms Control

21 calificación

As a state with one of the largest arsenals of nuclear weapons Russia is a key participant of nuclear non-proliferation regime and defines nuclear arms control as a priority of its foreign policy. This course will discover the logic and the frames of Russian nuclear arms control policies. You will learn the historical background and the modern context of bilateral US-Russian relations in nuclear arms control and understand how these relations influence the global nuclear non-proliferation regime. You will get the basic tools for analyzing Russian defence and security policy in regards to nuclear non-proliferation and disarmament. Upon the completion this course the students will… ...be able to - analyze the actions of a state from the point of view of the present treaties on nuclear arms control; - come up with their own opinion on the problem commented by the arms control experts; - make arguments supporting their position in discussions of nuclear arms control. ...get to know - the technical, political and strategic aspects of agreements on nuclear arms control; - the content of arms control treaties in which Russia participates; - the trustworthy informational resources dedicated to the problem of nuclear arms control. ...be familiar with - the special terminology in the area of arms control; - the modern state and the perspectives of international policy regarding nuclear arms control; - the basics of Russia’s nuclear arms control policy.

De la lección

Challenges to the Regime

7.1 'UAV: Missile or Drone?'6:41

7.2 'Nuclear and Conventional Weapons'7:23

7.3 'Trust But Verify'13:15

7.4 'Sore Subjects of Missile Defence'8:06

7.5 'Conclusion'2:31

Conoce a los instructores

Anastasia A. Malygina
Assistant Professor
Department of Theory and History of International Relations
Andrey Y. Pavlov
Professor
Department of Theory and History of International Relations

As you already know,

Russia always insisted that there is close connection

between offensive and defensive strategic weapons.

During the negotiations on The New Start Treaty.

Russia couldn't resolve that problem and only partially that problem was resolved,

when the introductory part of the treaty,

this interconnection was mentioned.

At a time when Russia and the United States

negotiated the new Strategic Arms Abduction Treaty in 2009-2010,

American ballistic missile defense plans we're just at the beginning of implementation.

And at that time, Russian experts believe that the existing.

Ballistic Missile Defense did not undermine strategic stability.

The biggest concern of the Russian militaries was the fact that,

United States political leaders tried to promote the development of

European components of ballistic missile defense and deployed near Russian borders.

According to Russian militaries,

the future possible deployment of ballistic missile defense system in Europe will be

a serious threat for strategic stability because

it could undermine Russia's capability to

retaliate in case of conflict and

mutual vulnerability will be violated.

The US' plans concerning creation of

Global Missile Defense System are regularly reviewed.

So, Russian experts don't know what to expect during the next five,10 years

and this is the biggest concern which

create problems for sustainability of The New Start Treaty.

Although Russian official position,

the position of Russian political leadership is quite static and fundamentally,

it represents the concerns about

future deployment of ballistic missile defense of the United States.

There are some discussions among various Russian experts on the problem.

Some Russian experts believe that,

when the whole system of ballistic missile defense will be deployed,

it anyway will not seriously alter the strategic balance and strategic stability.

They calculate the number of

ballistic missile defense elements of the number of interceptors their trajectories,

the number of Russian offensive weapons and make conclusion that,

only a small part of.

Russian nuclear weapons will be intercepted in case of conflict

so ballistic missile defense will not undermine Russia's capability to retaliate.

The experts calculations show that,

the interceptor missiles stationed in Europe will

be able to threaten only a small fraction of

the Russian nuclear arsenals which will fly in case of retaliation over Scandinavia and

given the fact that modern Russian warheads are equipped with

specific means to overcome the missile defense,

even that small fraction of

Russian retaliation capabilities will be

capable to penetrate through ballistic missile defense system in Europe.

Moreover, the majority of Russian warheads launched

from Russian territory would fly over Arctic,

over Northern Pole, and take into account the time it takes to detect

the launch of these missiles and to make decision to intercept these missiles.

The comparison of the interceptors and the warheads fly times,

shows that it will be almost impossible to destroy the majority of Russian warheads.

These calculations seem to show that,

mutual vulnerability will be preserved even in case of

complete implementation of American plans to

deploy national or even global ballistic missile defense.

But that is just an opinion of a part of military strategic experts.

The majority of Russian military experts,

as well as politicians, political decision makers,

believe that Americans are trying to use at least partially,

the ballistic missile defense system to undermine Russia's abilities to retaliate.

And this way, the deployment of BMD will undermine strategic stability.

There are some indications of that position of

the United States for Russian experts and politicians.

First. Russia proposed several times to create a joint ballistic missile defense system,

at least in Europe,

And that proposition was constantly denied by the United States.

Secondly, Russia tried to convince the United States to negotiate the problem

of ballistic missile defense system and sign some legally-binding agreement,

which would limit the capabilities to intercept

strategic Russian nuclear forces retaliate attack in case of a conflict.

But this initiative have always been rejected by the United States too.

So, this perception of Russian politicians was reinforced by their.

initial deployment of ballistic missile defense systems in Romania,

which coincided with the beginning of the Ukrainian crisis.

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