The other two courses in this specialisation require you to perform deterministic modelling - in other words, the epidemic outcome is predictable as all parameters are fully known. However, this course delves into the many cases – especially in the early stages of an epidemic – where chance events can be influential in the future of an epidemic. So, you'll be introduced to some examples of such ‘stochasticity’, as well as simple approaches to modelling these epidemics using R. You will examine how to model infections for which such ‘population structure’ plays an important role in the transmission dynamics, and will learn some of the basic approaches to modelling vector-borne diseases, including the Ross-McDonald Model.
Este curso forma parte de Programa Especializado - Infectious Disease Modelling
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Programa Especializado - Infectious Disease ModellingImperial College LondonAcerca de este Curso
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Certificado para compartir
Obtén un certificado al finalizar
100 % en línea
Comienza de inmediato y aprende a tu propio ritmo.
Curso 3 de 3 en
Fechas límite flexibles
Restablece las fechas límite en función de tus horarios.
Nivel intermedio
Aprox. 21 hora para completar
Inglés (English)
Subtítulos: Inglés (English)
Qué aprenderás
Distinguish between stochastic and deterministic models, explain when either are appropriate, and perform simple simulations of a stochastic model
Identify where it is important to incorporate population structure in a model and design and simulate a transmission model capturing such structure
Evaluate the assumptions behind the Ross MacDonald model, and code such a model using R to simulate the dynamics of a vector-borne disease
Critically evaluate a modelling study and communicate its strengths and weaknesses to a scientifically literate audience
Habilidades que obtendrás
Mathematical ModelR ProgrammingInfectious Diseases
Certificado para compartir
Obtén un certificado al finalizar
100 % en línea
Comienza de inmediato y aprende a tu propio ritmo.
Curso 3 de 3 en
Fechas límite flexibles
Restablece las fechas límite en función de tus horarios.
Nivel intermedio
Aprox. 21 hora para completar
Inglés (English)
Subtítulos: Inglés (English)
ofrecido por
Imperial College London
Imperial College London is a world top ten university with an international reputation for excellence in science, engineering, medicine and business. located in the heart of London. Imperial is a multidisciplinary space for education, research, translation and commercialisation, harnessing science and innovation to tackle global challenges.
Comienza a trabajar para obtener tu maestría
Este curso es parte del Global Master of Public Health completamente en línea de Imperial College London.
Si eres aceptado en el programa completo, tus cursos cuentan para tu título.
Programa - Qué aprenderás en este curso
7 horas para completar
Building on the SIR Model: Stochasticity
The other two courses in this specialisation have focused on performing deterministic modelling - that is, the epidemic outcome is predictable as all parameters are fully known. However, there are many cases, especially in the early stages of an epidemic, where chance events can be influential in the future of an epidemic. In this module, you will be introduced to some examples of such ‘stochasticity’, as well as, simple approaches to modelling these epidemics using R.
7 horas para completar
5 videos (Total 14 minutos), 9 lecturas
5 videos
An Insider's View of IDM4m
Stochastic and Deterministic Models2m
Simulating Stochasticity2m
Populations with Pre-Existing Immunity2m
9 lecturas
Welcome to Infectious Disease Modelling10m
About the Infectious Disease Modelling Team10m
Glossary10m
Using R for IDM: A Reference Guide1h
Modelling Infectious Disease Dynamics35m
Building on the SIR Model3m
The Story of MERS Coronavirus10m
Calculating Incidence in a Deterministic Model45m
The Resurgence of Measles15m
6 horas para completar
Building on the SIR model: Heterogeneity
In the basic deterministic SIR model, all susceptible individuals in a population are subject to the same risks of infection. However, there are many important infectious diseases where certain groups of the population account for a disproportionate amount of transmission: these are not always the same groups that bear the greatest amount of morbidity and mortality. In this module, you will examine how to model infections for which such ‘population structure’ plays an important role in the transmission dynamics.
6 horas para completar
2 videos (Total 7 minutos), 2 lecturas
2 lecturas
The story of Seasonal Influenza15m
Modelling Influenza Vaccination Policy in the UK40m
5 horas para completar
Building on the SIR model: Vector-borne Diseases
Many important diseases are not directly transmitted between hosts, but depend on ‘vectors’ to pass infection between hosts, for example biting insects. It is important to be able to extend the modelling approaches you have studied so far to capture these more complex forms of natural history. In this module, you will learn some of the basic approaches to modelling vector-borne diseases, including the Ross-McDonald model, which is a framework that provides an important foundation for such diseases.
5 horas para completar
6 videos (Total 25 minutos), 1 lectura
6 videos
Ross MacDonald/Force of Infection - Part 24m
Vectorial Capacity - Part 11m
Vectorial Capacity - Part 2: Impact of Interventions5m
A Closer Look at Interventions Against VBDs6m
Vector-borne Diseases: Interventions and R02m
1 lectura
The Story of Dengue20m
3 horas para completar
Assignment: Modelling Study Critique
Even if you are not designing and simulating mathematical models in future, it is important to be able to critically assess a model, to appreciate its strengths and weaknesses, and to identify how it could be improved. One way of gaining this skill is to conduct a critical peer review of a modelling study in the position of a reviewer evaluating it for publication in a journal. This module is reserved for the completion of your assignment - for you to apply the knowledge and skills you've developing throughout this specialisation.
3 horas para completar
Acerca de Programa especializado: Infectious Disease Modelling
Mathematical modelling is increasingly being used to support public health decision-making in the control of infectious diseases. This specialisation aims to introduce some fundamental concepts of mathematical modelling with all modelling conducted in the programming language R - a widely used application today.
The specialisation will suit you if you have a basic working knowledge of R, but would also like to learn the necessary basic coding skills to write simple mathematical models in this language. While no advanced mathematical skills are required, you should be familiar with ordinary differential equations, and how to interpret them. You'll receive clear instruction in the basic theory of infectious disease modelling alongside practical, hands-on experience of coding models in the programming language R.
Preguntas Frecuentes
¿Cuándo podré acceder a las lecciones y tareas?
Una vez que te inscribes para obtener un Certificado, tendrás acceso a todos los videos, cuestionarios y tareas de programación (si corresponde). Las tareas calificadas por compañeros solo pueden enviarse y revisarse una vez que haya comenzado tu sesión. Si eliges explorar el curso sin comprarlo, es posible que no puedas acceder a determinadas tareas.
¿Qué recibiré si me suscribo a este Programa especializado?
Cuando te inscribes en un curso, obtienes acceso a todos los cursos que forman parte del Programa especializado y te darán un Certificado cuando completes el trabajo. Se añadirá tu Certificado electrónico a la página Logros. Desde allí, puedes imprimir tu Certificado o añadirlo a tu perfil de LinkedIn. Si solo quieres leer y visualizar el contenido del curso, puedes auditar el curso sin costo.
What is the refund policy?
Si estás suscrito, obtienes una prueba gratis de 7 días, que podrás cancelar cuando desees sin ningún tipo de penalidad. Una vez transcurrido ese tiempo, no realizamos reembolsos. No obstante, puedes cancelar tu suscripción cuando quieras. Consulta nuestra política completa de reembolsos.
Is financial aid available?
Sí, Coursera ofrece ayuda económica a los estudiantes que no pueden pagar la tarifa. Solicítala haciendo clic en el enlace de Ayuda económica que está debajo del botón “Inscribirse” a la izquierda. Se te pedirá que completes una solicitud. Recibirás una notificación en caso de que se apruebe. Deberás completar este paso para cada uno de los cursos que forman parte del Programa especializado, incluido el proyecto final. Obtén más información.
¿Recibiré crédito universitario por completar el Curso?
Este Curso no otorga crédito universitario, pero algunas universidades pueden aceptar los Certificados del curso para obtener crédito. Consulta con tu institución para obtener más información. Los Títulos en línea y los Certificados Mastertrack™ de Coursera brindan la oportunidad de obtener créditos universitarios.
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